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Chaos & Climate – Part 3: Chaos & Models

September 4, 2016

Watts Up With That?

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen

bifruct_whole“The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” 

IPCC TAR WG1, Working Group I: The Scientific Basis

Introduction: 

The IPCC has long recognized that the Earth’s climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system.   Unfortunately, few of those dealing in climate science – professional and citizen scientists alike – seem to grasp the full implications of this.  It is not an easy topic – not a topic on which one can read a quick primer and then dive into real world applications.     This essay is the third in a short series of essays to clarify the possible relationships between Climate and Chaos.  This is not a highly technical discussion, but a basic introduction to the subject to shed some light on  just what the IPCC might mean when it says “we…

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