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New paper on ‘the pause’ says it is 19 years at surface and 16-26 years at the lower troposphere

September 3, 2014

Watts Up With That?

Marcel Crok tips me via Twitter that a new analysis of ‘the pause’ by Dr. Ross McKittrick has given some new numbers for the different temperature datasets. It was published in the Open Journal of Statistics

19_years_pause Note: this figure (and the one below) is not from Dr. McKIttrick’s paper, but was created to illustrate his point about the HadCRUT4 surface data having a 19 year pause. http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1995

The RSS satellite dataset says:

https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/07/clip_image002.png

The paper:

McKitrick, R. (2014) HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time SeriesOpen Journal of Statistics4, 527-535. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2014.47050.

Abstract
The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus has implications for determining if the underlying trend has changed, and for evaluating climate models. Here, I propose a method…

View original post 522 more words

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