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Data Reveal Florida Keys Sea Surface Temperatures Haven’t Warmed in 80+ Years*

September 11, 2014
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jim:

Here is yet another climate lie from the government.

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

*Based on the Linear Trend

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale

A new study funded by the US Geological Survey (USGS) was introduced with the USGS press release Ocean Warming Affecting Florida Reefs – Increased Temperatures Spell Trouble for Corals. The press release was included in yesterday’s post Claim: Ocean Warming Affecting Florida Reefs at WattsUpWithThat. The study compares sea surface temperatures from a century ago to recent values, see Figure 1, as measured at lighthouses in the Florida Keys, but it fails to illustrate or discuss that temperatures reached similar levels during the mid-20th Century…or the fact that sea surface temperatures for that part of the Florida Keys show no warming in 80+ years.

The paper being discussed is Kuffner et al. (2014) A Century of Ocean Warming on Florida Keys Coral Reefs: Historic In Situ Observations. My Figure 1 is their Figure 2. It shows…

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Dramatic video of explosive volcanic eruption with compression wave

September 7, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

volcanic_explosion_papuaHere’s something seldom seen – a volcanic eruption that is so fast and intense that it creates a condensation shock wave in the atmosphere (like is sometimes seen from bombs exploding) along with throwing massive debris into the air that splashes down in the water.

This incredible video was taken by a tourist on a pleasure boat ride. Best viewed full screen (set for HD) with sound on. Watch for the wave to hit the camera!

The eruption of Mount Tavurvur volcano on August 29th, 2014. Captured by Phil McNamara.

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Laughable new paper claims 99.999% certainty global warming over past 25 years is man-made

September 4, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

I was tipped off to this paper by a Tweet from SkS Reichfurher John Cook, and I started on writing a rebuttal, but discovered The Hockey Schtick had already done a complete job, so I’ve reposted it here.  -Anthony
The Hockey Schtick writes: A new paper published in a journal called “Climate Risk Management” claims a ridiculous degree of “certainty” of  99.999% that global warming over the past 25 years is man-made. The claim is made based upon climate models already falsified at confidence levels of 98%+.

According to the authors,

“there is less than a one in one hundred thousand chance of observing an unbroken sequence of 304 months [25.3 years] (our analysis extends to June 2010) with mean surface temperature exceeding the 20th century average.”

Fundamental problems with this claim [which is basically the falsified IPCC attribution claim of 95% certainty on steroids] include:

There is no statistical…

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New paper on ‘the pause’ says it is 19 years at surface and 16-26 years at the lower troposphere

September 3, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Marcel Crok tips me via Twitter that a new analysis of ‘the pause’ by Dr. Ross McKittrick has given some new numbers for the different temperature datasets. It was published in the Open Journal of Statistics

19_years_pause

Note: this figure (and the one below) is not from Dr. McKIttrick’s paper, but was created to illustrate his point about the HadCRUT4 surface data having a 19 year pause. http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1995

The RSS satellite dataset says:

https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/07/clip_image002.png

The paper:

McKitrick, R. (2014) HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time SeriesOpen Journal of Statistics4, 527-535. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2014.47050.

Abstract
The IPCC has drawn attention to an apparent leveling-off of globally-averaged temperatures over the past 15 years or so. Measuring the duration of the hiatus has implications for determining if the underlying trend has changed, and for evaluating climate models. Here, I propose a method…

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A psychologist’s scathing review of John Cook’s ‘97% consensus’ nonsensus paper

September 3, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Psychologist José Duarte writes: The Cook et al. (2013) 97% paper included a bunch of psychology studies, marketing papers, and surveys of the general public as scientific endorsement of anthropogenic climate change.

Let’s go ahead and walk through that sentence again. The Cook et al 97% paper included a bunch of psychology studies, marketing papers, and surveys of the general public as scientific endorsement of anthropogenic climate change. I only spent ten minutes with their database — there will be more such papers for those who search. I’m not willing to spend a lot of time with their data, for reasons I detail further down.

This paper is vacated, as a scientific product, given that it included psychology papers, and also given that it twice lied about its method (claiming not to count social science papers, and claiming to use independent raters), and the professed cheating by the raters. It…

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A psychologist’s scathing review of John Cook’s ‘97% consensus’ nonsensus paper

September 3, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Psychologist José Duarte writes: The Cook et al. (2013) 97% paper included a bunch of psychology studies, marketing papers, and surveys of the general public as scientific endorsement of anthropogenic climate change.

Let’s go ahead and walk through that sentence again. The Cook et al 97% paper included a bunch of psychology studies, marketing papers, and surveys of the general public as scientific endorsement of anthropogenic climate change. I only spent ten minutes with their database — there will be more such papers for those who search. I’m not willing to spend a lot of time with their data, for reasons I detail further down.

This paper is vacated, as a scientific product, given that it included psychology papers, and also given that it twice lied about its method (claiming not to count social science papers, and claiming to use independent raters), and the professed cheating by the raters. It…

View original 1,019 more words

Climate bozos keep popping up all over

August 27, 2014
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Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Climate Alarmism: When Is This Bozo Going Down?

By Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger

Climate alarmism is like one of those pop-up Bozos. No matter how many times you bop it, up it springs. In fact, the only way to stop it, as most kids learn, is to deflate it. In this case, the air inside Bozo is your and my tax money.

realclimate_bozo

Two scientific papers released last week combine for a powerful 1-2 haymaker, but, rest assured, Bozo springs eternal. The first says that human aerosol emissions are not that responsible for offsetting the warming influence of greenhouse gas emissions, while the second finds that the observed warming from human greenhouse gases is less than a lot of people think.

We aren’t at all surprised by the first result.  The cooling effect of sulphate particulates, which go into the air along with carbon dioxide when fossil…

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